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January 31, 2007

Comments

Ken

My problem with passer ratings is the yards/attempt component. I think they should use yards (at point of completion)/attempt. That way, it doesn't factor in yards after the catch (an indicator of the receiver's skill, not the quarterback's).

But, besides passer rating, I think completions per attempt at point of reception between 7 and 20 yards could be a good indicator. Behind the linebackers and in front of the safeties is the most densely defensed area.

What I really wonder is what stats teams use internally to rate players? I imagine _Moneyball_ probably motivated some linear regression wonks to pitch their SAS programming skills to NFL GM's.

Ken

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